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Multifractal Detrended Cross-Correlation Analysis of Sunspot Numbers and River Flow Fluctuations

机译:太阳黑子数的多重分形去趋势互相关分析   河流流量波动

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摘要

We use the Detrended Cross-Correlation Analysis (DCCA) to investigate theinfluence of sun activity represented by sunspot numbers on one of the climateindicators, specifically rivers, represented by river flow fluctuation forDaugava, Holston, Nolichucky and French Broad rivers. The MultifractalDetrended Cross-Correlation Analysis (MF-DXA) shows that there exist somecrossovers in the cross-correlation fluctuation function versus time scale ofthe river flow and sunspot series. One of these crossovers corresponds to thewell-known cycle of solar activity demonstrating a universal property of thementioned rivers. The scaling exponent given by DCCA for original series atintermediate time scale, $(12-24)\leq s\leq 130$ months, is $\lambda =1.17\pm0.04$ which is almost similar for all underlying rivers at$1\sigma$confidence interval showing the second universal behavior of riverrunoffs. To remove the sinusoidal trends embedded in data sets, we apply theSingular Value Decomposition (SVD) method. Our results show that there exists along-range cross-correlation between the sunspot numbers and the underlyingstreamflow records. The magnitude of the scaling exponent and the correspondingcross-correlation exponent are $\lambda\in (0.76, 0.85)$ and$\gamma_{\times}\in(0.30, 0.48)$, respectively. Different values for scalingand cross-correlation exponents may be related to local and external factorssuch as topography, drainage network morphology, human activity and so on.Multifractal cross-correlation analysis demonstrates that all underlyingfluctuations have almost weak multifractal nature which is also a universalproperty for data series. In addition the empirical relation between scalingexponent derived by DCCA and Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA), $\lambda\approx(h_{\rm sun} + h_{\rm river})/2$ is confirmed.
机译:我们使用去趋势互相关分析(DCCA)来研究太阳黑子数代表的太阳活动对气候指标之一(特别是河流)的影响,以道加瓦河,霍尔斯顿,诺里查基和法国宽河的河流流量波动为代表。多重分形趋势互相关分析(MF-DXA)表明,互相关波动函数与河流流量和黑子序列的时间尺度之间存在一些交叉。这些交叉之一对应于太阳活动的众所周知的周期,证明了上述河流的普遍特性。 DCCA对原始时间序列在中间时间尺度$(12-24)\ leq s \ leq 130 $月的缩放指数为$ \ lambda = 1.17 \ pm0.04 $,这与所有基础河流的$ 1 \几乎相似σ区间显示河流径流的第二种普遍行为。为了消除嵌入在数据集中的正弦趋势,我们应用奇异值分解(SVD)方法。我们的结果表明,黑子数与基础流记录之间存在沿距离的互相关。缩放指数的大小和相应的互相关指数的大小分别为$ \ lambda \ in(0.76,0.85)$和$ \ gamma _ {\ times} \ in(0.30,0.48)$。标度和互相关指数的不同值可能与局部和外部因素有关,如地形,排水网络形态,人类活动等。多重分形互相关分析表明,所有基础波动几乎都具有微弱的多重分形性质,这也是数据的通用属性系列。另外,还证实了DCCA得出的比例指数与去趋势波动分析(DFA)之间的经验关系,$ \ lambda \ approx(h _ {\ rm sun} + h _ {\ rm river})/ 2 $。

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  • 作者

    Hajian, S.; Movahed, M. Sadegh;

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  • 年度 2010
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 {"code":"en","name":"English","id":9}
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